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ISS302: Global Trends 2040

ISS302: Global Trends 2040

Course Description


This course offers an in-depth exploration of the strategic implications of long-term global trends on international security up to the year 2040. Leveraging the insights from the "Global Trends 2040: Alternative Worlds" report by the National Intelligence Council, the course challenges students to critically analyze demographic, environmental, technological, economic, political, and governance trends. Students will engage with the concept of strategic foresight, applying it to construct and analyze various future global scenarios.


The curriculum covers a comprehensive range of topics including the impact of technological innovation on security, the role of economic interdependencies in global peace, the potential political outcomes from demographic shifts, and the strategic challenges posed by environmental changes. Through a mix of lectures, workshops, and group projects, students will learn to synthesize these trends and predict their potential interactions. The course emphasizes not only the understanding of possible future scenarios but also the development of robust strategies to mitigate or capitalize on these outcomes.


By applying theoretical knowledge to practical scenario exercises, students will develop a nuanced appreciation of the complexities of global forecasting and its relevance to crafting proactive security policies. This course is designed to equip future leaders in international security with the tools necessary to navigate an increasingly uncertain global landscape.


Learning Outcomes


  • Understand and Analyze Global Trends: Gain insights into how demographic shifts, technological advancements, environmental changes, and political and economic developments influence international security.

  • Apply Scenario Planning: Utilize strategic foresight tools to develop and analyze potential future scenarios based on current global trends.

  • Formulate Strategic Responses: Develop comprehensive strategies and policy recommendations to address potential future security challenges and opportunities.

  • Engage in Critical Analysis: Critically engage with complex, interdisciplinary issues at the intersection of global trends and international security studies, enhancing their analytical depth and strategic thinking skills​​.

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